Run Inference

Freeze the panel and inference YAML before viewing post-treatment results, then run:

geosc infer \
  --config data-config/geolift_analysis_config.yaml \
  --create-plots

Use --data to override only the CSV path and --no-create-plots to suppress plotting. The command returns non-zero when the stage raises an error or the result status is failed.

Review outputs in this order:

1. data_validation.json for panel construction and window metadata;
2. assumption_validation.json for the parallel-trends gate and advisory interference screen;
3. geolift_results.json for status, unscaled ATT, p-value, interval, placebo count, granularity, warnings, and errors;
4. geolift_diagnostics.json for pre-fit and fitted donor-weight diagnostics;
5. uplift_timeseries.png as a visual diagnostic.

Describe the result as an estimated difference from the configured SparseSC counterfactual. Causal interpretation requires defensible donor exchangeability, treatment isolation, stable measurement, timing, and absence of material unmodelled shocks. The advisory interference screen cannot prove or disprove spillover.